Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006440 0.007211 0.008050 0.009034 0.010157 0.011402 0.012893
2025-02-16 0.005235 0.006294 0.007545 0.009140 0.011133 0.013556 0.016753
2025-02-23 0.004471 0.005628 0.007068 0.009010 0.011587 0.014927 0.019642
2025-03-02 0.004029 0.005263 0.006869 0.009136 0.012301 0.016630 0.023115
2025-03-09 0.003624 0.004884 0.006582 0.009075 0.012709 0.017916 0.026132
2025-03-16 0.003201 0.004425 0.006125 0.008705 0.012605 0.018420 0.028017
2025-03-23 0.002944 0.004169 0.005919 0.008660 0.012952 0.019603 0.031073
2025-03-30 0.002841 0.004121 0.006004 0.009046 0.013985 0.021950 0.036333
2025-04-06 0.002586 0.003823 0.005683 0.008766 0.013916 0.022493 0.038570
2025-04-13 0.002374 0.003572 0.005411 0.008531 0.013888 0.023085 0.040954
2025-04-20 0.002235 0.003422 0.005283 0.008518 0.014225 0.024334 0.044717
2025-04-27 0.002171 0.003386 0.005334 0.008804 0.015108 0.026655 0.050888
2025-05-04 0.002033 0.003224 0.005172 0.008722 0.015349 0.027869 0.055146
2025-05-11 0.001935 0.003122 0.005103 0.008801 0.015901 0.029763 0.061193
2025-05-18 0.001813 0.002969 0.004933 0.008678 0.016048 0.030857 0.065656
2025-05-25 0.001742 0.002897 0.004898 0.008799 0.016681 0.033026 0.072958
2025-06-01 0.001649 0.002781 0.004775 0.008740 0.016944 0.034439 0.078715
2025-06-08 0.001523 0.002597 0.004514 0.008385 0.016552 0.034369 0.080775
2025-06-15 0.001450 0.002503 0.004413 0.008343 0.016817 0.035803 0.086966
2025-06-22 0.001435 0.002516 0.004512 0.008712 0.018020 0.039570 0.100147
2025-06-29 0.001342 0.002377 0.004313 0.008444 0.017764 0.039823 0.103615
2025-07-06 0.001262 0.002257 0.004140 0.008219 0.017587 0.040245 0.107665
2025-07-13 0.001211 0.002191 0.004070 0.008206 0.017902 0.041948 0.115889